000
ACUS03 KWNS 260658
SWODY3
SPC AC 260658

Day 3 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0158 AM CDT Tue Mar 26 2019

Valid 281200Z - 291200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
A strong thunderstorm may occur over parts of Kansas and Oklahoma on
Thursday evening or Thursday night but an area of organized severe
thunderstorms is not currently expected.

...Synopsis...
A broad mid-level trough over the western U.S. will gradually move
east on Thursday.  An associated belt of strong flow will extend
through the base of the trough from the eastern Pacific through the
Four Corners and into the central High Plains.  In the low levels, a
frontal zone associated with a disturbance moving across the Upper
Great Lakes into Ontario will become draped across the southern
Great Lakes west-southwestward to a low/triple point over northwest
OK.  Southerly low-level flow over the southern Great Plains will
contribute to moistening with upper 50s to near 60 degrees F
dewpoints east of a dryline and south of the front.  A stout capping
inversion will likely inhibit convective development during the day
in the warm sector to the east/southeast of the triple point. 
Thursday night storm development seems more probable, both in an
upslope regime into the central High Plains and near/north of the
surface front, as a warm advection regime develops over the central
Plains.  Steep 700-500mb lapse rates may contribute to a stronger
updraft capable of hail growth within this corridor, but the
marginal character/limited coverage precludes an outlook area at
this time.

..Smith.. 03/26/2019

$$