000 ACUS03 KWNS 080711 SWODY3 SPC AC 080710 Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0210 AM CDT Mon Aug 08 2022 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Organized severe weather appears unlikely across the CONUS on Wednesday. ...Discussion... The pattern on Wednesday will feature an upper high over the central Rockies, an upper low off the coastal Pacific Northwest, and upper troughing from the Great Lakes into the Northeast. At the surface, a quasi-stationary front will extend roughly from the Mid Atlantic into the southern Plains, with 60s F dewpoints and a few 70s F common along the boundary. While winds aloft will increase across the Great Lakes as the main jet max moves from Ontario into Quebec, any substantial shear is forecast to remain well north of the surface front. As such, scattered storms from northern TX to the Mid Atlantic are expected to be largely non-severe, though a few strong gusts may occur during the peak heating hours. To the west, 40 kt southerlies at 500 mb will remain over OR and WA, with a weak surface trough east of the Cascades. MLCAPE is forecast to be below 500 J/kg, with straight-line hodographs. This may support a few cells during the afternoon and evening, but forecast soundings show relatively poor midlevel lapse rates despite the upper low to the west. As such, severe weather is currently not forecast. ..Jewell.. 08/08/2022 $$