000 ACUS01 KWNS 300039 SWODY1 SPC AC 300037 Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0637 PM CST Sun Jan 29 2023 Valid 300100Z - 301200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM SOUTHEAST TEXAS ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF COAST... ...SUMMARY... Isolated strong-severe storms remain possible from southeast Texas eastward along the northern Gulf coast. ...01z Update... Weak short-wave trough is ejecting across the Arklatex early this evening. This feature is forecast to deamplify as it advances into middle TN/northern AL by the end of the period. Subsequent movement should encourage LLJ over southern LA to translate into GA/SC where warm advection will focus late in the period. Extensive elevated convection continues across much of the Gulf States from northern LA into GA. This activity will suppress air mass recovery appreciably inland where somewhat stronger forcing will be noted. While the majority of convection will remain elevated, driven by warm advection, isolated-scattered convection may linger along the advancing cold front and along the immediate cool side of the warm front. Otherwise, true warm-sector thunderstorms should remain isolated. Locally strong wind gusts should be the primary risk with this convection. ..Darrow.. 01/30/2023 $$