000
FXUS62 KKEY 271401
AFDKEY

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Key West FL
957 AM EDT Mon Jun 27 2022

.DISCUSSION...
A weak surface and low level trough extending from southern 
Florida to the Bahamas is inducing showers and thunderstorms over
the Bahamas. Currently, showers and thunderstorms from the 
overnight hours have yielded several weak boundaries over the 
local waters which are producing a few showers in the offshore 
waters. GOES-16 low to mid-level water vapor imagery shows drier 
air filtering through the Peninsula of Florida and the Florida 
Keys. The drier air has suppressed convection this morning and 
will continue to limit shower development. As expected, the 12Z 
sounding came in with a lower precipitable water value than last 
nights 00Z, the precipitable water went from 2.01 inches at 00Z to
1.84 inches at 12Z. Additionally, convection has been stifled by 
the pronounced dry layer from 850 to 700 mb, seen on the 12Z 
Skew-T. Although, the above deterrents are present showers and 
thunderstorms are forecasted this afternoon.

&&

.MARINE...
There are no watches, warnings, or advisories currently in effect
for the coastal waters of the Florida Keys. Gentle southerly
breezes will continue over the local waters through Tuesday. High 
pressure building into the region will cause breezes to freshen from 
the east late Wednesday night through Friday.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR conditions and light winds will prevail at both the EYW and MTH 
terminals through today and tonight. Even though, uncertainty at the 
moment continues to be high in terms of timing of the showers in the 
vicinity of the terminals, have opted to include VCSH conditions in 
the current terminals forecasts. However, keep in mind time 
adjustments may be needed through the day. Surface winds will be 
mostly out of the southeast, becoming variable at times. 

&&

.CLIMATE...
On this day in 1961, the daily record rainfall of 3.30" was recorded 
at Key West.  Precipitation data for Key West dates back to 1871.


&&

.KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

Public/Marine/Fire...TW
Aviation/Nowcasts....KR
Data Acquisition.....AP

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