000 FXUS62 KKEY 271401 AFDKEY Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Key West FL 957 AM EDT Mon Jun 27 2022 .DISCUSSION... A weak surface and low level trough extending from southern Florida to the Bahamas is inducing showers and thunderstorms over the Bahamas. Currently, showers and thunderstorms from the overnight hours have yielded several weak boundaries over the local waters which are producing a few showers in the offshore waters. GOES-16 low to mid-level water vapor imagery shows drier air filtering through the Peninsula of Florida and the Florida Keys. The drier air has suppressed convection this morning and will continue to limit shower development. As expected, the 12Z sounding came in with a lower precipitable water value than last nights 00Z, the precipitable water went from 2.01 inches at 00Z to 1.84 inches at 12Z. Additionally, convection has been stifled by the pronounced dry layer from 850 to 700 mb, seen on the 12Z Skew-T. Although, the above deterrents are present showers and thunderstorms are forecasted this afternoon. && .MARINE... There are no watches, warnings, or advisories currently in effect for the coastal waters of the Florida Keys. Gentle southerly breezes will continue over the local waters through Tuesday. High pressure building into the region will cause breezes to freshen from the east late Wednesday night through Friday. && .AVIATION... VFR conditions and light winds will prevail at both the EYW and MTH terminals through today and tonight. Even though, uncertainty at the moment continues to be high in terms of timing of the showers in the vicinity of the terminals, have opted to include VCSH conditions in the current terminals forecasts. However, keep in mind time adjustments may be needed through the day. Surface winds will be mostly out of the southeast, becoming variable at times. && .CLIMATE... On this day in 1961, the daily record rainfall of 3.30" was recorded at Key West. Precipitation data for Key West dates back to 1871. && .KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...None. GM...None. && $$ Public/Marine/Fire...TW Aviation/Nowcasts....KR Data Acquisition.....AP Visit us on the web at weather.gov/key Follow us on Facebook and Twitter at: www.facebook.com/nwskeywest www.twitter.com/nwskeywest