000
FXUS63 KDLH 140522
AFDDLH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Duluth MN
1222 AM CDT Sun Aug 14 2022

.DISCUSSION...(This evening through Friday)
Issued at 432 PM CDT Sat Aug 13 2022

Summary: Northwesterly flow will lead to periodic chances of
rainfall through the period along with seasonal temperatures.

High pressure was centered over the Northern High Plains this
afternoon with an area of low pressure near La Crosse. This low
continued to spread stratus across much of the Northland with
drizzle being reported at times underneath this deck. Some
clearing was seen from the Iron Range northward. This area of
clearing will slowly work across the region tonight and tomorrow.
With abundant low level moisture in place, areas of fog are
expected to develop tonight. This fog may be dense in spots and
will need to be monitored for any possible Dense Fog Advisories.

Northwest flow will setup over the region for much of the week
before an upper low disrupts the flow late week. Weak impulses 
rippling through the flow will lead to showers and isolated 
rumbles of thunder during the afternoon hours Sunday through 
Thursday. No severe weather is currently expected along with no 
widespread significant rainfall during this period. Slightly 
better chances for rainfall will be seen at the end of the week 
potentially with models bringing an upper level low through the
area.

Temperatures will be near seasonal levels through the week with
highs in the 70s and lower 80s. Areas near Lake Superior will be
cooler with light onshore winds expected each day.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Sunday night)
Issued at 1221 AM CDT Sun Aug 14 2022

Fog is spreading across the region early this morning, and is 
expected to continue, dropping most TAF sites to IFR or LIFR 
conditions. The one exception is INL, which model guidance continues 
to keep north of the lowest visibilities. Fog should burn off through 
the morning leading to VFR conditions by late morning. Some rain 
showers are possible this afternoon and evening over the MN 
Arrowhead and Bayfield Peninsula, possibly impacting INL. The 
occasional thunderstorm is possible.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 432 PM CDT Sat Aug 13 2022

Winds will diminish tonight and become light and variable. Sunday
will see winds turn northeasterly at 5 to 10 knots and these will
continue for Monday as well. A few gusts to around 15 knots will
be possible on Monday as well. A few isolated showers an perhaps
an embedded storm will remain possible during the afternoon hours
Sunday and Monday. Fog looks to develop tonight and may be dense
in spots. Conditions will need to be monitored for a possible
Marine Dense Fog Advisory.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DLH  51  75  55  72 /   0  10  10  20 
INL  54  80  56  78 /   0  20  20  20 
BRD  54  79  58  80 /   0  10  10  20 
HYR  52  78  53  78 /   0  10  10  20 
ASX  53  75  54  75 /   0  10  10  20 

&&

.DLH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WI...None.
MN...None.
LS...None.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...BJH
AVIATION...Levens
MARINE...BJH