000
FXUS63 KBIS 021939
AFDBIS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Bismarck ND
239 PM CDT Fri Jun 2 2023

.SHORT TERM...(This Evening through Saturday)
Issued at 230 PM CDT Fri Jun 2 2023

Scattered showers and thunderstorms through tonight. No severe
storms are expected but a few stronger storms with small hail are
possible. The reason for no severe storms is the lack of shear to
separate the updraft and downdraft so they don't collapse on
themselves and to get them rotating. The upper level pattern will
mostly stay the same with the upper level high still moving to the
west. This will start to limit some storm development through the
weekend, although there are still chances on and off. Otherwise 
highs will stay in the 80s through the entire forecast period. 

.LONG TERM...(Saturday Night through Friday)
Issued at 230 PM CDT Fri Jun 2 2023

As mentioned before the upper level high will continue moving in
from the east, and taming down our storm chances some. It will
also help build a ridge over us and continue the high
temperatures in the 80s and near 90. 

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Saturday Afternoon)
Issued at 1244 PM CDT Fri Jun 2 2023

VFR conditions through the period. Diurnal cumulus developing into
showers and thunderstorms for all locations through about sunset.
Winds could gust near 20kts from the southeast. Overnight clouds
will clear and winds will relax. 


&&

.BIS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Smith
LONG TERM...Smith
AVIATION...Smith