000 FGUS51 KTAR 221523 RVFBUF RIVER STAGE FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...TAUNTON, MA 1120 AM EDT Wed May 22 2013 : :THIS IS A NWS GUIDANCE PRODUCT FROM THE NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER. :OFFICIAL FORECASTS/WARNINGS ARE ONLY ISSUED BY LOCAL NWS OFFICES. : :************************************************* :Tonawanda Creek - Batavia, NY :Flood Stage 9.0 ft :Latest Observed Value: 1.79 ft at May-22 11:00 am : .ER BTVN6 20130522 E DC201305221120/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST 2AM 8AM 2PM 8PM .E1 :0522: :: ::/ 1.9/ 2.0 .E2 :0523:/ 2.0/ 2.1/ 2.1/ 2.1 .E3 :0524:/ 2.2/ 2.3/ 2.3/ 2.4 .E4 :0525:/ 2.4/ 2.3 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.30/ 0.22/ 0.15/ 0.13/ 0.13/ 0.04/ 0.07/ 0.14/ :************************************************* :Tonawanda Creek - Rapids, NY :Flood Stage 12.0 ft :Latest Observed Value: 1.73 ft at May-22 10:30 am : .ER RAPN6 20130522 E DC201305221120/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST 2AM 8AM 2PM 8PM .E1 :0522: :: ::/ 1.7/ 1.8 .E2 :0523:/ 1.8/ 1.8/ 1.8/ 1.8 .E3 :0524:/ 1.9/ 1.9/ 2.0/ 2.1 .E4 :0525:/ 2.1/ 2.1 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.26/ 0.20/ 0.14/ 0.12/ 0.10/ 0.04/ 0.08/ 0.15/ :************************************************* :Cattaraugus Creek - Gowanda, NY :Flood Stage 10.0 ft :Latest Observed Value: 1.82 ft at May-22 10:15 am : .ER GOWN6 20130522 E DC201305221120/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST 2AM 8AM 2PM 8PM .E1 :0522: :: ::/ 1.9/ 1.9 .E2 :0523:/ 2.1/ 2.2/ 2.5/ 2.9 .E3 :0524:/ 3.0/ 2.8/ 2.8/ 2.8 .E4 :0525:/ 2.6/ 2.4 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.30/ 0.11/ 0.24/ 0.17/ 0.12/ 0.05/ 0.06/ 0.12/ :************************************************* :Buffalo Creek - Gardenville, NY :Flood Stage 7.0 ft :Latest Observed Value: 0.69 ft at May-22 10:15 am : .ER GDVN6 20130522 E DC201305221120/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST 2AM 8AM 2PM 8PM .E1 :0522: :: ::/ 1.0/ 0.9 .E2 :0523:/ 1.2/ 1.6/ 1.8/ 1.6 .E3 :0524:/ 1.6/ 1.8/ 1.5/ 1.3 .E4 :0525:/ 1.1/ 1.0 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.29/ 0.15/ 0.18/ 0.14/ 0.11/ 0.04/ 0.07/ 0.13/ :************************************************* :Cayuga Creek - Lancaster, NY :Flood Stage 8.0 ft :Latest Observed Value: 3.08 ft at May-22 10:30 am : .ER LCSN6 20130522 E DC201305221120/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST 2AM 8AM 2PM 8PM .E1 :0522: :: ::/ 3.2/ 3.6 .E2 :0523:/ 3.5/ 3.7/ 4.2/ 4.2 .E3 :0524:/ 4.0/ 4.1/ 4.3/ 4.0 .E4 :0525:/ 3.7/ 3.5 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.29/ 0.17/ 0.17/ 0.13/ 0.11/ 0.04/ 0.08/ 0.14/ :************************************************* :Cazenovia Creek - Ebenezer, NY :Flood Stage 10.0 ft :Latest Observed Value: 2.41 ft at May-22 09:00 am : .ER EBZN6 20130522 E DC201305221120/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST 2AM 8AM 2PM 8PM .E1 :0522: :: ::/ 2.4/ 2.6 .E2 :0523:/ 2.5/ 2.7/ 3.2/ 3.5 .E3 :0524:/ 3.5/ 3.3/ 3.5/ 3.4 .E4 :0525:/ 3.2/ 3.0 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.29/ 0.13/ 0.20/ 0.15/ 0.10/ 0.05/ 0.08/ 0.13/ :************************************************* :Ellicott Creek - Williamsville, NY :Flood Stage 8.0 ft :Latest Observed Value: 1.99 ft at May-22 11:00 am : .ER WILN6 20130522 E DC201305221120/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST 2AM 8AM 2PM 8PM .E1 :0522: :: ::/ 2.0/ 2.0 .E2 :0523:/ 2.0/ 2.1/ 2.1/ 2.1 .E3 :0524:/ 2.2/ 2.3/ 2.3/ 2.4 .E4 :0525:/ 2.5/ 2.6 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.26/ 0.17/ 0.16/ 0.12/ 0.09/ 0.04/ 0.08/ 0.14/ :************************************************* :Genesee River - Wellsville, NY :Flood Stage 11.0 ft :Latest Observed Value: 4.65 ft at May-22 10:45 am : .ER WLLN6 20130522 E DC201305221120/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST 2AM 8AM 2PM 8PM .E1 :0522: :: ::/ 4.7/ 4.9 .E2 :0523:/ 4.9/ 4.9/ 5.1/ 5.3 .E3 :0524:/ 5.3/ 5.2/ 5.3/ 5.1 .E4 :0525:/ 5.1/ 5.0 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.30/ 0.08/ 0.14/ 0.20/ 0.30/ 0.05/ 0.05/ 0.10/ :************************************************* :Genesee River - Portageville, NY :Flood Stage 19.0 ft :Latest Observed Value: 8.97 ft at May-22 09:00 am : .ER PRTN6 20130522 E DC201305221120/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST 2AM 8AM 2PM 8PM .E1 :0522: :: ::/ 9.1/ 9.2 .E2 :0523:/ 9.4/ 9.6/ 9.8/ 10.1 .E3 :0524:/ 10.4/ 10.6/ 10.6/ 10.6 .E4 :0525:/ 10.6/ 10.4 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.30/ 0.14/ 0.17/ 0.18/ 0.21/ 0.04/ 0.05/ 0.11/ : RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION :************************************************* :Genesee River - Mount Morris Dam, NY :Flood Stage 760.0 ft : .ER MMDN6 20130522 E DC201305221120/DH14/HPIFF/DIH6 :POOL FCST 2AM 8AM 2PM 8PM .E1 :0522: :: ::/ 589.3/ 590.0 .E2 :0523:/ 591.0/ 592.6/ 595.6/ 597.8 .E3 :0524:/ 600.6/ 603.4/ 605.8/ 607.7 .E4 :0525:/ 608.7/ 609.2 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.31/ 0.22/ 0.15/ 0.14/ 0.19/ 0.04/ 0.06/ 0.13/ :************************************************* :Genesee River - Avon, NY :Flood Stage 33.0 ft : .ER AVON6 20130522 E DC201305221120/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST 2AM 8AM 2PM 8PM .E1 :0522: :: ::/ 15.9/ 16.0 .E2 :0523:/ 16.2/ 16.7/ 17.3/ 18.1 .E3 :0524:/ 18.9/ 19.6/ 19.9/ 20.0 .E4 :0525:/ 20.2/ 20.4 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.31/ 0.27/ 0.13/ 0.12/ 0.20/ 0.04/ 0.05/ 0.13/ : RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION :************************************************* :Oatka Creek - Garbutt, NY :Flood Stage 6.0 ft :Latest Observed Value: 2.68 ft at May-22 11:00 am : .ER GRBN6 20130522 E DC201305221120/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST 2AM 8AM 2PM 8PM .E1 :0522: :: ::/ 2.7/ 2.7 .E2 :0523:/ 2.7/ 2.8/ 2.9/ 3.0 .E3 :0524:/ 3.1/ 3.3/ 3.3/ 3.3 .E4 :0525:/ 3.2/ 3.2 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.30/ 0.26/ 0.14/ 0.13/ 0.16/ 0.04/ 0.06/ 0.13/ :************************************************* :Black Creek - Churchville, NY :Flood Stage 6.0 ft : .ER CHRN6 20130522 E DC201305221120/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST 2AM 8AM 2PM 8PM .E1 :0522: :: ::/ 1.8/ 1.8 .E2 :0523:/ 1.8/ 1.8/ 1.9/ 1.9 .E3 :0524:/ 2.0/ 2.0/ 2.1/ 2.1 .E4 :0525:/ 2.2/ 2.2 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.30/ 0.29/ 0.13/ 0.11/ 0.14/ 0.04/ 0.07/ 0.14/ :************************************************* :Genesee River - Rochester, NY :Flood Stage 15.0 ft :Latest Observed Value: 4.87 ft at May-22 08:00 am : .ER RHRN6 20130522 E DC201305221120/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST 2AM 8AM 2PM 8PM .E1 :0522: :: ::/ 4.8/ 4.8 .E2 :0523:/ 4.9/ 5.1/ 5.4/ 5.7 .E3 :0524:/ 6.0/ 6.3/ 6.5/ 6.7 .E4 :0525:/ 6.7/ 6.8 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.32/ 0.31/ 0.12/ 0.11/ 0.19/ 0.05/ 0.05/ 0.13/ : RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION :************************************************* :Honeoye Creek - Honeoye Falls, NY :Flood Stage 4.0 ft : .ER HNYN6 20130522 E DC201305221120/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST 2AM 8AM 2PM 8PM .E1 :0522: :: ::/ 0.7/ 0.7 .E2 :0523:/ 0.8/ 0.8/ 0.9/ 1.0 .E3 :0524:/ 1.1/ 1.1/ 1.2/ 1.2 .E4 :0525:/ 1.2/ 1.1 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.32/ 0.28/ 0.12/ 0.12/ 0.26/ 0.06/ 0.04/ 0.12/ : RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION :************************************************* :Canandaigua Lake - Canandaigua Lake nr Canandaigua, NY :Flood Stage 689.2 ft : .ER CNDN6 20130522 E DC201305221120/DH14/HPIFF/DIH6 :POOL FCST 2AM 8AM 2PM 8PM .E1 :0522: :: ::/ 688.7/ 688.7 .E2 :0523:/ 688.7/ 688.8/ 688.8/ 688.9 .E3 :0524:/ 688.9/ 688.9/ 688.9/ 688.9 .E4 :0525:/ 689.0/ 689.0 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.31/ 0.28/ 0.11/ 0.12/ 0.30/ 0.08/ 0.04/ 0.12/ :************************************************* :Canandaigua Outlet - Chapin, NY :Latest Observed Value: 3.47 ft at May-22 10:00 am :Crest 4.42 at May-27 8am : .ER CPNN6 20130522 E DC201305221120/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST 2AM 8AM 2PM 8PM .E1 :0522: :: ::/ 3.5/ 3.6 .E2 :0523:/ 3.7/ 3.7/ 3.7/ 3.7 .E3 :0524:/ 3.7/ 3.6/ 3.6/ 3.5 .E4 :0525:/ 3.5/ 3.5 :************************************************* :Black River - Boonville, NY :Flood Stage 10.0 ft :Latest Observed Value: 4.90 ft at May-22 11:00 am : .ER BOON6 20130522 E DC201305221120/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST 2AM 8AM 2PM 8PM .E1 :0522: :: ::/ 5.2/ 5.4 .E2 :0523:/ 5.6/ 5.6/ 5.8/ 6.2 .E3 :0524:/ 6.5/ 6.5/ 6.5/ 6.3 .E4 :0525:/ 6.1/ 5.9 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.22/ 0.21/ 0.08/ 0.14/ 0.51/ 0.26/ 0.05/ 0.07/ :************************************************* :Black River - Watertown, NY :Flood Stage 10.0 ft :Latest Observed Value: 3.22 ft at May-22 10:30 am : .ER ARTN6 20130522 E DC201305221120/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST 2AM 8AM 2PM 8PM .E1 :0522: :: ::/ 3.2/ 3.3 .E2 :0523:/ 3.4/ 3.5/ 3.7/ 3.9 .E3 :0524:/ 4.1/ 4.3/ 4.4/ 4.6 .E4 :0525:/ 4.7/ 4.8 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.15/ 0.21/ 0.14/ 0.19/ 0.41/ 0.16/ 0.04/ 0.08/ $$ :NERFC :...END OF MESSAGE