000 FXZS60 NSTU 250120 AFDPPG AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR AMERICAN SAMOA AND INDEPENDENT SAMOA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PAGO PAGO AS 220 PM SST FRI MAY 24 2013 .SHORT TERM... .TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES AND ISOLATED SHOWERS NEAR SAMOA AND AMERICAN SAMOA. THE MAIN WEATHER-DRIVEN MECHANISM IS A LARGE SCALE HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED TO THE SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE REGION WHICH WILL EVENTUALLY MOVE EASTWARD THROUGH SUNDAY. ALTHOUGH A SURFACE RIDGE FROM THIS HIGH WILL MOVE CLOSER TO THE SOUTH OF UPOLU AND TUTUILA DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS...BUT LOCAL WIND SPEEDS WILL REMAIN NEAR 15 TO 20 KT THROUGH SUNDAY BEFORE DROPPING TO NEAR 10 TO 15 KT ON SUNDAY NIGHT. ONLY ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED. THEREFORE... ANTICIPATE PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES DURING THE LONG TERM FCST PERIOD. .LONG TERM... .MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...A SURFACE RIDGE NEAR THE SAMOAN ISLANDS WILL YIELD TO FAVORABLE WEATHER CONDITIONS ON THE MEMORIAL DAY HOLIDAY BEFORE SCATTERED SHOWERS ENTER THE FCST ZONE NEAR THE MIDWEEK. A STRONG AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE FROM THE SOUTHWEST WILL SWEEP CLOUDS AND WEATHER NEAR THE AREA ON WEDNESDAY ESPECIALLY NEAR SAVAII AND UPOLU. A SHEAR LINE FROM THE SOUTH WILL LIKELY MAKE ITS WAY NEAR THE SAMOAN ISLANDS JUST BEFORE THE END OF THE FCST PERIOD...BUT WILL MONITOR THIS SITUATION AS WIND AND SHOWERS MAY INCREASE BEFORE FRIDAY. FOR NOW...WILL KEEP SHOWERS AT A MINIMAL WHILE MONITORING ANY NEW DEVELOPING WEATHER FROM THE SOUTH OF THE REGION DURING THE LATTER PART OF THE WEEK. && .MARINE...COMBINED SEAS OF 4 TO 6 FEET WILL CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. && .PPG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... .A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. && $$ BAQUI