000
FGUS71 KBOX 021838
ESFBOX
CTC003-013-015-MAC001-005-007-009-011-013-015-017-019-021-023-025-
027-NHC005-011-RIC001-003-005-007-009-041845-

WINTER/SPRING FLOOD POTENTIAL OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
238 PM EDT THU MAY 2 2013

...THE FLOOD POTENTIAL ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND IS BELOW NORMAL...

THIS IS THE FINAL SPRING FLOOD POTENTIAL OUTLOOK OF THE SEASON
FOR SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND. FLOOD POTENTIAL OUTLOOKS ARE ISSUED
EVERY TWO WEEKS DURING THE WINTER INTO THE SPRING TO ASSESS THE
POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING. THE OUTLOOKS ARE BASED ON CURRENT AND
FORECAST HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL CONDITIONS. THIS INCLUDES STREAM AND
RIVER LEVELS...ALONG WITH EXPECTED TEMPERATURES AND PRECIPITATION
OVER THE NEXT TWO WEEKS.

...PRECIPITATION AND TEMPERATURES...

PRECIPITATION ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND DURING THE MONTH OF
APRIL WAS WELL BELOW NORMAL. PRECIPITATION TOTALS ACROSS MOST
LOCATIONS RANGED FROM 1.25 TO 3 INCHES...WHICH WAS 1.5 TO 3 INCHES
BELOW NORMAL.

TEMPERATURES FOR THE MONTH AVERAGED WITHIN A DEGREE OF NORMAL AT THE 
MAJOR CLIMATE SITES WITHIN THE AREA. 

...RIVER LEVELS AND SOIL CONDITIONS...

BECAUSE OF THE DRY CONDITIONS IN APRIL...RIVERS AND STREAMS FELL TO 
BELOW NORMAL OR WELL BELOW NORMAL LEVELS FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.

SOIL MOISTURE WAS BELOW NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. 

...TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION OUTLOOK...

MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE COURSE OF THE NEXT 7 
DAYS...WITH HIGH PRESSURE BEING IN CONTROL FOR MUCH OF THIS PERIOD.  
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO AVERAGE ABOVE NORMAL DURING THE PERIOD. 

IN CONTRAST...THE 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK /MAY 9 TO 15/ FROM THE CLIMATE 
PREDICTION CENTER CALLS FOR BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND ABOVE 
NORMAL PRECIPITATION. 

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST FORECASTS...VIA OUR 
WEB SITES HTTP://WWW.ERH.NOAA.GOV/BOX...OR HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/BOSTON.

...SUMMARY...

BASED ON THE INFORMATION AVAILABLE AT THIS TIME...THE SPRING FLOOD 
POTENTIAL IS BELOW NORMAL ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND. THIS IS 
LARGELY DUE TO THE BELOW NORMAL STREAMFLOW ON AREA RIVERS AND 
STREAMS...BELOW NORMAL SOIL MOISTURE...AND DRY CONDITIONS EXPECTED 
OVER MUCH OF THE NEXT 7 DAYS. 

KEEP IN MIND THAT HEAVY RAIN CAN CAUSE FLOODING ANY TIME OF THE 
YEAR. THOSE WITH INTERESTS ALONG RIVERS AND STREAMS SHOULD CHECK THE 
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...WHICH HIGHLIGHTS ANY POTENTIAL FLOOD 
EVENTS OVER THE NEXT 7 DAYS. GO TO WWW.ERH.NOAA.GOV/BOX AND CLICK ON 
THE HAZARDOUS OUTLOOK SECTION ON THE TOP LEFT.
 
THIS IS THE FINAL WINTER/SPRING FLOOD OUTLOOK FOR THE 2012/2013 
SEASON.

$$


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